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	<title>'Fly NextGen' Aviation Blog &#187; weather</title>
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	<description>A blog about people, policy and technology related to the transformation of North America's air traffic system.</description>
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		<title>'Fly NextGen' Aviation Blog &#187; weather</title>
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		<title>Explainer: Why weather is at the heart of NextGen</title>
		<link>http://flynextgen.wordpress.com/2009/01/02/explainer-why-weather-is-at-the-heart-of-nextgen/</link>
		<comments>http://flynextgen.wordpress.com/2009/01/02/explainer-why-weather-is-at-the-heart-of-nextgen/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Jan 2009 14:37:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>pascalpinck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[explainer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weather]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.flynextgen.com/?p=544</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[An excellent set of in-depth articles (start here, continue here) by Aviation International News&#8217; Jennifer Harrington, focusing on the critical role that weather is already playing in shaping the NextGen project. A brief excerpt: Weather forecasters will no longer analyze &#8230; <a href="http://flynextgen.wordpress.com/2009/01/02/explainer-why-weather-is-at-the-heart-of-nextgen/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=flynextgen.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4655711&#038;post=544&#038;subd=flynextgen&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An excellent set of in-depth articles (start <a href="http://www.ainonline.com/news/single-news-page/article/weather-services-in-the-nextgen-era/" target="_blank">here</a>, continue <a href="http://www.ainonline.com/news/single-news-page/article/the-forecast-for-forecasting-technology/" target="_self">here</a>) by Aviation International News&#8217; Jennifer Harrington, focusing on the critical role that weather is already playing in shaping the NextGen project.</p>
<p>A brief excerpt:</p>
<blockquote><p><em>Weather forecasters will no longer analyze reams of data in an attempt to produce a single, uncertain forecast. Instead, the forecaster of the future will oversee an automated forecasting system that will produce a “probabilistic weather forecast.” In other words, the system will produce different scenarios based on the probability of a certain weather event occurring. “Today we have only one plan, so it tends to be conservative,” [the FAA's Steve] Bradford said. “The [weather] automation would run through a number of different potential futures and help us come up with a plan that would allow us to maximize the use of the airspace around an airport and minimize the chance of diversions. We could plan continuously and increase efficiency.”</em></p></blockquote>
<p>Among those quoted extensively: <strong>Bruce Carmichael</strong>, director of the Aviation Applications Program  at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR); <strong>Steve Bradford</strong>, the FAA’s chief scientist for Architecture and NextGen Development; <strong>Robert Gillen </strong>(Ensco’s director of engineering) and <strong>Christina Frederick-Recascino </strong>(Embry-Riddle&#8217;s VP of Research), both of whom are involved with the Daytona Beach NextGen testbed facility.</p>
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			<media:title type="html">pascalpinck</media:title>
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		<title>Explainer: Clean air turbulence</title>
		<link>http://flynextgen.wordpress.com/2008/10/29/explainer-clean-air-turbulence/</link>
		<comments>http://flynextgen.wordpress.com/2008/10/29/explainer-clean-air-turbulence/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 03:29:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>pascalpinck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[explainer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weather]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://flynextgen.wordpress.com/?p=405</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A great column in Forbes magazine about what clean air turbulence is, why it happens, why it&#8217;s hard to avoid, and how meteorologists might soon be able to do a better job of predicting it. No specific mention of NextGen, &#8230; <a href="http://flynextgen.wordpress.com/2008/10/29/explainer-clean-air-turbulence/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=flynextgen.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4655711&#038;post=405&#038;subd=flynextgen&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A great <a href="http://www.forbes.com/technology/2008/10/24/clear-air-turbulence-tech-sciences-cz_jf_1024turbulence.html" target="_blank">column</a> in Forbes magazine about what clean air turbulence is, why it happens, why it&#8217;s hard to avoid, and how meteorologists might soon be able to do a better job of predicting it. No specific mention of NextGen, though the author makes the point that one of the problems today is the low-resolution nature of aviation forecasts. Clearly, if the visionaries in the FAA weather group have their way, this should change within a couple of years.</p>
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